Supreme Court Concern is Just Tip of the Iceberg for Conservatives

The biggest impact any president can have on the nation is the ability to shape the Supreme Court. Conservative voters are especially concerned about this because they believe the Court has become too liberal in recent years. With the death of Justice Antonin Scalia, conservative concerns about the Court have reached panic levels. Given the [...]

By | May 26th, 2016|Tip of the Iceberg|70 Comments

Despite Trump Disruption, Analysts Still Expecting Conventional Election

Yesterday, I posted the first Rasmussen Media Group projection for the Electoral College. Based upon the aggregated projections from respected analysts, it shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by a margin of 281-191 Electoral Votes. The most amazing thing about the projections, though, is how familiar they look. It’s almost exactly the same breakdown that we have seen in every recent election. The Toss-Ups are Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and New Hampshire. In fact, if you split the Toss-Up states as they voted last time, the results would match 2012 exactly. So, despite the fact that Donald Trump has totally upended the political world, the analysts are currently expecting no substantive change in the general election. It is possible that the analysts are simply wrong. After all, that’s been the story of Trump 2016. Another explanation, however, might be that the #NeverHillary and #NeverTrump voters are more important than those who actually support the two candidates. […]

By | May 24th, 2016|Election 2016--President|0 Comments

Electoral College Starting Point: Clinton 281 Trump 191

A number of analysts regularly produce their own projections of the Electoral College outcome for the upcoming election. The results can be wildly different: Real Clear Politics shows Hillary Clinton ahead by a modest 201 to 164 EV total while Larry Sabato shows Clinton dominating with at 347 to 191 advantage. As the season unfolds, I will aggregate the projections from a variety of sources to provide a consensus view. For the first edition of this effort, I have included projections from Real Clear Politics, Larry Sabato, the Cook Political Report, Louis Jacobson, and the Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report. Additional analysts may be added as they release projections for all 50 states. […]

By | May 23rd, 2016|Uncategorized|1 Comment

Freedom vs. the Bureaucracy

Nothing unites Americans more than the belief that each of us has the right to live our lives as we see fit so long as we don’t interfere with the rights of others to do the same. Unfortunately, this is seen as a problem by many who want to rule over us. A diverse nation of 325 million people exercising their freedom is a nightmare for those who believe bureaucrats know best. This attitude was clearly expressed in a truly chilling book, The Executive Unbound: After the Madisonian Republic. Eric A. Posner and Adrian Vermeule claim that we should dismiss ideas like Constitutional checks and balances as nothing more than “a historical curiosity.” It’s time, the Chicago and Harvard law professors say, to accept the reality “that law cannot hope to constrain the modern executive.” […]

By | May 19th, 2016|Uncategorized|1 Comment

Trump Has Conquered the GOP: Now What?

In 2008 and 2012, John McCain and Mitt Romney were not the top choice for most Republicans. Many GOP voters agonized about whether they should hold their nose and vote for a candidate they disliked. The winners of those battles warned the disenchanted voters that failure to fall in line would help the Democrats. The [...]

By | May 18th, 2016|Uncategorized|0 Comments

Can Government Regain the Consent of the Governed?

Isaiah Berlin, one of the twentieth century’s greatest thinkers. believed that “the central question of politics [is] the question of obedience and coercion.” At its most basic level, the scholar framed the question like this: “Why should I (or anyone) obey anyone else?” That question goes right to the core of discussions about how a [...]

By | May 17th, 2016|Uncategorized|0 Comments